Equine racing systems are regularly according to research and statistics. Without one, creating a equine racing system will be a much more complex. I personally use lots of programs and Internet assets in my own research, but this is very costly and encounter 100s every month. So to be able to present you a little of the bit of support These are merely numerous valuable statistics beneath:
+Odds On Horses+
The huge most of people appear to consider odds on horses are unequalled or bad value. Neither holds true, they get beaten pretty frequently, and for value when you get a design winning equine running inside a Seller at 1/5, that’s potentially decent value.
A fast statistic now:
58% of odds on horses win their races around the flat.
54% win around the AW (All Weather). That 4% difference makes a significant difference, so pay closer focus on short-listed racehorses about this surface.
Splitting all flat races into race type using the percenatge of winning odds on runners:
4+ & all age H/c’s – 48%
Specific age H/c’s – 53%
Claimers – 56%
2yo Retailers – 56%
3yo Seller – 60%
Other Retailers – 56%
3yo & all age Maidens – 59%
2yo Maidens – 61%
2yo condition races – 62%
3yo & all age cnds races – 57%
All of the above according to statistics over five years.
This can with confidence provide you with a little assist in mentioning likely odds on those who win.
+5f Sprint Favourites +
In answer a question I had been sent regarding the number of odds on favourites win 5f sprints:
During the last 16 years,
Handicap – 23% – 924/3960 – 376.62 Loss
Claimer/Auction – 35% – 420/1208 – 89.98 Loss
Non-Handicap – 35% – 779/220 – 233.10 Loss
Group or Maiden – 38% – 878/2310 – 175.09 Loss
Sprints aren’t actually great for odds on runners, you need to be searching their way in 1 mile and upwards races. Also while using betting trades will offer you better prices on some, however in several ofcases when you subtract the commission you’ll have a lower cost compared to sports books offer.
+Those who win before out – Flat+
Some quick fundamental stats for that flat from ten years of statistics:
Before out those who win win 17.45% the next time out
Horses that won there last 2 races win 21.52% the next time out
Those who win of there last 3 win 24.81%
Last 4 win 26.25%
Last 5 win 29.17%
Last 6 win 38.24
+Those who win before out – National Search+
Source – ten years all NH races run under rules. Likelihood of equine winning the next time out:
Before out champion – 23.61%
Won last 2 – 29%
Won last 3 – 33.89%
Won last 4 – 37.65%
Won last 5 – 39.64%
Won last 6 – 38.53%
In comparison towards the flat, sequence those who win over jumps have a bigger possibility of winning again.
A Nursery is really a Handicap race for just two year olds.
I just read a comment within the RFO (Racing and Football Outlook newspaper) in one of the ‘tipsters’, that ‘top weight’s in Plant centers will always be worth another look.
Now me being things i am, I needed to check this excellent theory, because this is the way we learn, and so i went it through my software.
Normally using this type of media information it’s shot lower in flames.
During the last 16 years:
Those who win: 359
Average loss each year: -28
Only 1996 demonstrated an income of 36, apparently a coincidence.
Not so good could it be? Clearly it is the media giving the normal punter the standard useless misconceptions.
Remember, whenever you hear media remarks for example ‘horses for courses’, ‘always back the outsider of 3’, etc, the alternative is generally true.
These stats ought that will help you develop your method betting, and go towards creating a equine racing system.